Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NEB +145 IOWA -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -0.9 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -0.1 (+15.9) | 147.8 (-31.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -0.8 (+16.8) | 146.3 (-30.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -0.4 (+15.6) | 146.0 (-30.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -0.3 (+15.7) | 147.2 (-31.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#91) | 10.8 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#83) | 1.23 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#82) | 1.80 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#67) | 0.538 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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