Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -333 WIU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -6.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -2.2 (+4.8) | 145.3 (-10.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -5.8 (+1.2) | 143.4 (-8.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -2.4 (+4.6) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -2.5 (+4.5) | 145.9 (-10.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | WIU 81 – 73 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SDST 91 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SDST 93 – 75 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SDST 92 – 63 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SDST 83 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#227) | -4.0 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#184) | 0.11 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#223) | -0.12 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#149) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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