Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +25 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -12.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -14.1 (+10.9) | 162.8 (-5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -14.0 (+11.0) | 158.4 (-1.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -13.9 (+11.1) | 158.7 (-1.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -13.1 (+11.9) | 161.0 (-4.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | WIU 81 – 73 SDST |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SDST 71 – 64 WIU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SDST 93 – 75 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SDST 92 – 63 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SDST 83 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 10-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | -2.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#53) | -0.49 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#64) | -0.67 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#34) | 0.465 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 44.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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