Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
Summit League · Frost Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SDST -17.5 Away covered
O/U 154.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDST win
Actual SDST +6 160 Won
Massey SDST -18.0 (-12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 154.5 (+5.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDST -12.1 (-6.1) 155.3 (+4.7) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDST -12.5 (-6.5) 152.8 (+7.2) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDST -14.1 (-8.1) 153.1 (+6.9) 88% ✓
Baseline ML SDST -13.2 (-7.2) 152.6 (+7.4) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2023 WIU 81 – 73 SDST
Dec 30, 2022 SDST 71 – 64 WIU
Feb 18, 2022 SDST 91 – 66 WIU
Jan 22, 2022 SDST 93 – 75 WIU
Jan 10, 2021 SDST 92 – 63 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDST WIU
Overall 16-7 7-15
Conference 9-3 5-9
Home 8-1 2-5
Away 4-2 4-9
Neutral 4-4 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 79.9 72.7
Avg Pts Against 74.5 80.5
Massey 5.2 (#98) -9.6 (#302)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#88) -2.48 (#322)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#119) -3.07 (#312)
RPI 0.553 (#88) 0.325 (#332)
Shooting & Four Factors SDST WIU
FG% 45.9% 38.4%
3PT% 39.6% 30.1%
REB / G 33.5 36.9
OREB / G 6.9 11.9
AST / TO 1.00 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 44.0%
TOV% 17.5% 16.3%
ORB% 20.8% 27.0%
FT Rate 23.4% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 17.3%
DRB% 75.8% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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