Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +110 SDST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -0.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.2 (+7.8) | 137.4 (+16.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -1.5 (+9.5) | 136.0 (+18.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -0.4 (+8.4) | 137.2 (+16.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -0.4 (+8.4) | 138.2 (+15.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2022 | SDST 71 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SDST 91 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SDST 93 – 75 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SDST 92 – 63 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SDST 83 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#248) | -0.7 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#192) | 0.31 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | -0.01 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.541 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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