Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.0 Over |
| Money | WIU +180 SDST -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +18 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -3.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -2.9 (-15.1) | 163.7 (+4.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -3.6 (-14.4) | 158.1 (+9.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -3.2 (-14.8) | 164.6 (+3.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -4.2 (-13.8) | 169.3 (-1.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | WIU 81 – 73 SDST |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SDST 71 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SDST 91 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2021 | SDST 92 – 63 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SDST 83 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 18-0 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-0 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 6.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#182) | 1.35 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | 1.46 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#210) | 0.573 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 43.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 59.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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