Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | SDST -2000 WIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +29 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -15.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -12.0 (+17.0) | 155.5 (-0.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -11.3 (+17.7) | 152.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -11.1 (+17.9) | 152.3 (+2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -12.2 (+16.8) | 152.2 (+2.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | WIU 81 – 73 SDST |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SDST 71 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SDST 91 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SDST 93 – 75 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SDST 83 – 77 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-1 | 2-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 80.5 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | -9.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#88) | -2.40 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#115) | -2.83 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#110) | 0.348 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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