Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -133 COLO +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -1.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -1.4 (-4.4) | 144.5 (-1.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -1.1 (-4.1) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.4 (-5.4) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -1.3 (-4.3) | 144.8 (-1.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
| Nov 29, 2021 | COLO 80 – 76 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#77) | 9.5 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#183) | 1.26 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#151) | 1.85 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.592 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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