Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -225 STAN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +22 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.4 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.1 (+16.9) | 134.8 (+11.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.9 (+16.1) | 131.9 (+14.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.5 (+16.5) | 135.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.6 (+16.4) | 135.5 (+10.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
| Nov 29, 2021 | COLO 80 – 76 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#60) | 5.7 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#114) | -0.05 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#94) | 0.21 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#100) | 0.473 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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