Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -148 STAN +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -2.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.6 (-12.6) | 154.0 (-9.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.1 (-14.1) | 156.6 (-11.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.0 (-13.0) | 156.5 (-11.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.1 (-14.1) | 157.7 (-12.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
| Nov 29, 2021 | COLO 80 – 76 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#73) | 6.7 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#37) | 1.39 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#32) | 1.89 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#34) | 0.562 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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