Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -1.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -1.3 (-18.3) | 137.1 (-14.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.0 (-19.0) | 135.6 (-12.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.4 (-19.4) | 139.4 (-16.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -1.9 (-18.9) | 140.8 (-17.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Nov 29, 2021 | COLO 80 – 76 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#104) | 6.7 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#66) | 1.74 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#87) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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