Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -8.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -4.5 (-0.5) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.2 (-1.2) | 139.6 (+16.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.6 (-0.6) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.4 (-1.4) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | 0.1 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#160) | 0.90 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | 1.54 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#130) | 0.531 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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