Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -1000 STAN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -11.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.0 (-2.0) | 156.4 (-4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -11.8 (-1.8) | 154.9 (-2.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -11.0 (-1.0) | 154.2 (-2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -11.0 (-1.0) | 156.6 (-4.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
| Nov 29, 2021 | COLO 80 – 76 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#29) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#53) | 0.40 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#49) | 0.67 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#53) | 0.491 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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