Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +400 UTAH -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +15 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -11.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -12.0 (-3.0) | 130.3 (-29.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -11.3 (-3.7) | 129.8 (-28.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -11.9 (-3.1) | 131.5 (-30.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.1 (-2.9) | 132.2 (-31.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTAH 66 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-14 | 12-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L16 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#263) | 10.9 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#349) | 1.20 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#338) | 1.74 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#314) | 0.538 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 40.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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