Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CAL -395 UTAH +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -16.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -17.1 (-10.1) | 154.0 (-3.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -12.1 (-5.1) | 155.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -15.3 (-8.3) | 151.0 (-0.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -14.8 (-7.8) | 153.3 (-2.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTAH 66 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 17-5 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#57) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#59) | 0.10 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#66) | -0.65 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#59) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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