Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -2500 CAL +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +15 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -18.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -15.4 (-0.4) | 131.4 (-24.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -13.4 (+1.6) | 130.3 (-23.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -15.2 (-0.2) | 131.6 (-24.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -16.0 (-1.0) | 132.2 (-25.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTAH 66 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-14 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#43) | -4.1 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#95) | -1.73 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#90) | -1.70 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#140) | 0.423 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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