Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -1.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -1.3 (-3.3) | 139.0 (-21.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.6 (-2.6) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -2.0 (-4.0) | 138.0 (-20.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -1.3 (-3.3) | 138.8 (-20.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTAH 66 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#130) | 4.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#153) | 0.12 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#137) | 0.36 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#208) | 0.480 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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