Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | UTAH -420 CAL +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.5 (-2.5) | 140.3 (-16.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -11.5 (-3.5) | 139.3 (-15.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -9.8 (-1.8) | 140.5 (-16.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -10.2 (-2.2) | 140.5 (-16.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#46) | -0.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#78) | 0.07 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#75) | 0.54 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#43) | 0.517 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 79.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.