Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -450 CAL +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +29 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -10.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.2 (+18.8) | 155.6 (-8.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -11.1 (+17.9) | 154.0 (-7.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -10.5 (+18.5) | 152.2 (-5.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -10.5 (+18.5) | 154.1 (-7.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UTAH 66 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#41) | 4.1 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#66) | 0.46 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#69) | 0.91 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#69) | 0.494 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.