Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -200 GTWN +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -5.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -3.8 (+3.2) | 155.2 (+3.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -4.5 (+2.5) | 156.4 (+2.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -3.3 (+3.7) | 156.4 (+2.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -3.2 (+3.8) | 154.9 (+4.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GTWN 63 – 56 DEP |
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEP 56 – 50 GTWN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 2-18 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-12 |
| Away | 2-12 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#190) | -1.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#154) | -0.59 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#149) | -0.68 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.