Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -142 GTWN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +6 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -5.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-43.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -4.3 (+1.7) | 144.5 (-38.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -4.1 (+1.9) | 144.1 (-38.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -4.3 (+1.7) | 142.7 (-36.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -4.4 (+1.6) | 144.0 (-38.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GTWN 63 – 56 DEP |
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEP 73 – 68 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#115) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#116) | 0.73 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#110) | 1.07 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#153) | 0.517 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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