Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -105 GTWN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +7 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -0.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -0.9 (-6.1) | 134.2 (-15.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -0.9 (-6.1) | 130.4 (-11.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -1.2 (-5.8) | 132.1 (-13.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -1.1 (-5.9) | 134.0 (-15.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEP 56 – 50 GTWN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEP 73 – 68 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#102) | 6.2 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#92) | 0.94 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#91) | 1.37 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#207) | 0.510 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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