Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CP -200 CSUN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +10 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CP -5.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -3.1 (+6.9) | 127.9 (-3.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -3.0 (+7.0) | 125.5 (-1.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -3.0 (+7.0) | 130.6 (-6.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -3.4 (+6.6) | 129.8 (-5.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-13 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#262) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | -2.83 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#240) | -3.09 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.331 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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