Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SFA -175 ACU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -6.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -4.6 (+2.4) | 148.0 (-5.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -4.9 (+2.1) | 143.6 (-0.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -5.0 (+2.0) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -4.6 (+2.4) | 151.6 (-8.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | SFA 76 – 66 ACU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SFA 62 – 57 ACU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SFA 60 – 57 ACU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ACU 63 – 62 SFA |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SFA 79 – 74 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#187) | -3.2 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#202) | -0.48 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#211) | -0.79 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#254) | 0.433 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.