Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | RMU +130 PFW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -0.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -0.4 (+4.6) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -1.3 (+6.3) | 139.1 (+5.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -0.6 (+4.4) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -0.0 (+5.0) | 135.3 (+9.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#195) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#250) | 0.82 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#196) | 0.99 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#279) | 0.510 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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