Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +300 UTC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -4.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -3.9 (+11.9) | 146.0 (-2.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -6.3 (+14.3) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -4.4 (+12.4) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -4.6 (+12.6) | 149.7 (-5.7) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#299) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#274) | 0.23 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#269) | 0.37 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#259) | 0.537 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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