Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -10000 CMU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -15.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -12.3 (-14.3) | 147.5 (-23.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -16.3 (-18.3) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -13.5 (-15.5) | 148.6 (-24.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -13.5 (-15.5) | 147.0 (-23.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#81) | -5.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#76) | -2.22 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#65) | -2.23 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#76) | 0.366 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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