Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -225 LEH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -9.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -5.1 (-3.1) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -5.0 (-3.0) | 145.1 (+12.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -5.7 (-3.7) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -5.3 (-3.3) | 144.5 (+13.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#291) | -11.2 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#311) | -1.22 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#316) | -1.99 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#349) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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