Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money YSU -225 / CLE +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +14 156 Won
Massey YSU -9.2 (+4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.4 (+12.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -6.9 (+7.1) 143.3 (+12.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -5.4 (+8.6) 142.0 (+14.0) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -7.0 (+7.0) 144.1 (+11.9) 76% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -6.8 (+7.2) 144.3 (+11.7) 76% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 YSU 106 – 82 CLE
Jan 17, 2026 CLE 80 – 78 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 YSU 56 – 54 CLE
Feb 16, 2025 YSU 68 – 60 CLE
Jan 11, 2025 CLE 80 – 72 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU CLE
Overall 24-10 21-14
Conference 15-5 14-6
Home 14-3 13-3
Away 9-6 7-9
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 80.4 71.7
Avg Pts Against 72.9 69.2
Massey 5.0 (#93) 0.5 (#165)
Bradley-Terry 0.43 (#137) -0.14 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#116) -0.28 (#193)
RPI 0.502 (#170) 0.450 (#263)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU CLE
FG% 48.8% 42.9%
3PT% 37.3% 28.2%
REB / G 35.5 34.7
OREB / G 11.3 12.1
AST / TO 0.89 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 47.1%
TOV% 19.0% 16.8%
ORB% 33.9% 33.6%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 20.0%
DRB% 70.1% 62.1%
Opp FT Rate 17.3% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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