Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA -163 CCSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -3.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -0.3 (+7.7) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -1.7 (+6.3) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -1.2 (+6.8) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -0.0 (+8.0) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCSU 98 – 90 SFPA |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SFPA 46 – 43 CCSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CCSU 83 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCSU 74 – 59 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#340) | -9.7 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#354) | -2.98 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#352) | -3.49 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#334) | 0.377 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 12.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.