Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -250 CBU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +14 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -7.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.8 (+8.2) | 130.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -6.9 (+7.1) | 130.7 (+1.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -4.9 (+9.1) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.4 (+8.6) | 130.4 (+1.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#125) | -0.5 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#126) | -0.24 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#111) | -0.12 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#146) | 0.449 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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