Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -500 TNTC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -16.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -12.1 (+0.9) | 143.0 (-28.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -10.7 (+2.3) | 144.4 (-29.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -12.1 (+0.9) | 143.7 (-28.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -12.4 (+0.6) | 142.6 (-27.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#110) | -8.4 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#94) | -3.12 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#99) | -4.22 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#75) | 0.374 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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