Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money WKU -225 / RICE +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual RICE +3 159 Lost
Massey WKU -3.7 (-6.7) — —
Massey Totals — 156.0 (+3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WKU -1.1 (-4.1) 151.2 (+7.8) 59% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -1.6 (-4.6) 150.0 (+9.0) 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -1.4 (-4.4) 153.3 (+5.7) 59% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -1.7 (-4.7) 154.1 (+4.9) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2023 RICE 83 – 77 WKU
Jan 14, 2022 WKU 80 – 66 RICE
Feb 13, 2021 WKU 89 – 66 RICE
Feb 13, 2021 WKU 77 – 71 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU RICE
Overall 17-16 19-16
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 9-5 11-7
Away 5-9 6-7
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 75.2
Avg Pts Against 71.6 78.6
Massey -1.8 (#212) -0.9 (#184)
Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#147) 0.78 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#191) 0.77 (#119)
RPI 0.511 (#158) 0.514 (#154)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU RICE
FG% 45.8% 49.0%
3PT% 35.8% 34.0%
REB / G 32.9 35.2
OREB / G 8.7 8.1
AST / TO 1.29 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 56.0%
TOV% 16.7% 19.2%
ORB% 25.7% 25.3%
FT Rate 20.6% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 16.4%
DRB% 69.6% 76.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 16.4%

Game Analysis

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