Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Conference USA · Tudor Fieldhouse · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -1.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money RICE -125 / WKU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual RICE +6 160 Won
Massey RICE -3.4 (+2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 155.7 (+4.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RICE -2.1 (+3.9) 154.9 (+5.1) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -2.3 (+3.7) 153.2 (+6.8) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -2.8 (+3.2) 153.6 (+6.4) 64% ✓
Baseline ML RICE -2.4 (+3.6) 154.6 (+5.4) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 30, 2022 RICE 81 – 78 WKU
Jan 14, 2022 WKU 80 – 66 RICE
Feb 13, 2021 WKU 89 – 66 RICE
Feb 13, 2021 WKU 77 – 71 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICE WKU
Overall 19-16 17-16
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 11-7 9-5
Away 6-7 5-9
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 69.7
Avg Pts Against 78.6 71.6
Massey -0.2 (#171) 0.1 (#167)
Bradley-Terry 0.45 (#130) 0.20 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.30 (#151) -0.04 (#173)
RPI 0.512 (#157) 0.501 (#178)
Shooting & Four Factors RICE WKU
FG% 46.5% 44.0%
3PT% 36.1% 35.1%
REB / G 34.6 34.0
OREB / G 8.4 8.8
AST / TO 1.08 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 50.4%
TOV% 18.7% 16.4%
ORB% 25.2% 25.3%
FT Rate 25.8% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 18.0%
DRB% 74.8% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 19.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.