Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
E.A. Diddle Arena · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money WKU -500 / RICE +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +23 155 Won
Massey WKU -7.9 (+15.1) — —
Massey Totals — 151.6 (+3.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -9.2 (+13.8) 147.9 (+7.1) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -7.9 (+15.1) 145.3 (+9.7) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -9.3 (+13.7) 148.6 (+6.4) 83% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -9.0 (+14.0) 149.1 (+5.9) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2023 RICE 83 – 77 WKU
Dec 30, 2022 RICE 81 – 78 WKU
Jan 14, 2022 WKU 80 – 66 RICE
Feb 13, 2021 WKU 77 – 71 RICE

Game Analysis

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