Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -800 LAS +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -13.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -11.3 (+1.7) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -11.7 (+1.3) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -11.8 (+1.2) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -11.9 (+1.1) | 139.5 (+7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VCU 77 – 68 LAS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | VCU 96 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | VCU 71 – 65 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | VCU 85 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2021 | VCU 73 – 62 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | -6.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#105) | -0.66 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#120) | -1.24 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.468 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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