Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +650 VCU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -12.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -11.9 (+2.9) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -11.8 (+2.8) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -12.0 (+3.0) | 139.6 (+5.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -11.8 (+2.8) | 141.5 (+3.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | VCU 96 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | VCU 71 – 65 LAS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | VCU 80 – 67 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | VCU 85 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2021 | VCU 73 – 62 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#232) | 11.5 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#238) | 2.01 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#238) | 2.78 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#223) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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