Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -4000 LAS +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +30 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -17.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -17.0 (+13.0) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -15.8 (+14.2) | 141.2 (+20.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -16.3 (+13.7) | 140.7 (+21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -16.9 (+13.1) | 140.9 (+21.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VCU 77 – 68 LAS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | VCU 71 – 65 LAS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | VCU 80 – 67 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | VCU 85 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2021 | VCU 73 – 62 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#45) | -1.9 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#64) | 0.27 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#57) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#60) | 0.530 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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