Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | LAS +330 VCU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +19 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -9.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.9 (-12.1) | 134.0 (+17.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.8 (-12.2) | 134.6 (+16.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -8.0 (-11.0) | 130.9 (+20.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.2 (-10.8) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VCU 77 – 68 LAS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | VCU 96 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | VCU 71 – 65 LAS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | VCU 80 – 67 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2021 | VCU 73 – 62 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 62.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#275) | 7.7 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#286) | 1.78 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#304) | 2.08 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#322) | 0.586 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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