Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +188 VCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.4 (-2.6) | 142.7 (-6.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.9 (-2.1) | 142.7 (-6.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.6 (-3.4) | 143.5 (-7.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.2 (-2.8) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VCU 77 – 68 LAS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | VCU 96 – 66 LAS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | VCU 80 – 67 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | VCU 85 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 30, 2021 | VCU 73 – 62 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#216) | 4.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#155) | 0.48 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | 0.92 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.527 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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