Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -900 LAS +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -14.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -13.8 (-2.8) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -11.4 (-0.4) | 135.1 (-0.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -12.4 (-1.4) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -13.0 (-2.0) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VCU 77 – 68 LAS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | VCU 96 – 66 LAS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | VCU 71 – 65 LAS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | VCU 80 – 67 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | VCU 85 – 66 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#50) | -1.7 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#53) | 0.10 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#52) | 0.00 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#44) | 0.488 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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