Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | RMU -120 CLE +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -3.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -1.6 (-10.6) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.1 (-8.9) | 132.3 (-15.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -2.8 (-11.8) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -1.7 (-10.7) | 132.4 (-15.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#186) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#215) | -0.19 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#175) | -0.28 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#237) | 0.458 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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