Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +320 UCI -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.3 (+4.3) | 131.7 (+22.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.6 (+4.6) | 128.9 (+25.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.4 (+4.4) | 130.9 (+23.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.0 (+4.0) | 131.5 (+22.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#289) | 7.0 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#315) | 0.52 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#309) | 0.94 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#341) | 0.531 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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