Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -163 TAR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -1.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -1.0 (+5.0) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -1.3 (+4.7) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -1.7 (+4.3) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -1.6 (+4.4) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ACU 84 – 78 TAR |
| Feb 17, 2026 | TAR 65 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ACU 73 – 59 TAR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ACU 84 – 80 TAR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TAR 67 – 52 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | 0.0 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#238) | 0.37 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#251) | 0.43 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#297) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.