Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HPU +120 GWEB -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -2.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -1.3 (-8.3) | 139.9 (+13.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -1.4 (-8.4) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -2.3 (-9.3) | 138.7 (+14.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -1.5 (-8.5) | 138.4 (+14.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HPU 81 – 59 GWEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HPU 112 – 87 GWEB |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HPU 104 – 49 GWEB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | HPU 85 – 64 GWEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HPU 90 – 67 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#191) | 0.9 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#149) | -0.78 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#173) | -1.08 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.436 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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