Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -20000 GWEB +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -28.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -26.9 (-4.9) | 155.5 (-15.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HPU -23.3 (-1.3) | 156.7 (-16.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HPU -21.3 (+0.7) | 151.1 (-11.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -27.4 (-5.4) | 152.3 (-12.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HPU 112 – 87 GWEB |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HPU 104 – 49 GWEB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | HPU 85 – 64 GWEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HPU 90 – 67 GWEB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | HPU 96 – 55 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 1-15 |
| Home | 17-1 | 3-10 |
| Away | 7-2 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 86.7 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#77) | -20.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#96) | -3.27 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#105) | -4.53 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#73) | 0.395 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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