Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -1200 GWEB +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +41 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -9.3 (+31.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -8.3 (+32.7) | 149.6 (+1.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -9.4 (+31.6) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -9.8 (+31.2) | 149.4 (+1.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -8.0 (+33.0) | 151.4 (-0.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HPU 81 – 59 GWEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HPU 112 – 87 GWEB |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HPU 104 – 49 GWEB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | HPU 85 – 64 GWEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HPU 90 – 67 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 5-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#120) | -2.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#114) | -0.51 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#117) | -0.65 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#140) | 0.489 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.