Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -500 UTU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -8.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.5 (+4.5) | 147.9 (-16.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.1 (+3.9) | 146.5 (-15.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.3 (+3.7) | 148.2 (-17.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.7 (+4.3) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 12-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#83) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#63) | 0.63 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#45) | 0.55 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#68) | 0.532 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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