Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -700 GB +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -12.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -8.2 (+7.8) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -10.9 (+5.1) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -8.6 (+7.4) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -8.9 (+7.1) | 141.8 (+4.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#308) | -15.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#326) | -2.22 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#315) | -2.94 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#327) | 0.390 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.