I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
America East Conference · Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UML -9.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money NJIT +400 / UML -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total NJIT win
Actual UML +3 131 Lost
Massey UML -9.7 (+6.7) — —
Massey Totals — 138.8 (-7.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UML -8.0 (+5.0) 141.1 (-10.1) 24% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UML -9.0 (+6.0) 139.9 (-8.9) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UML -10.0 (+7.0) 141.3 (-10.3) 17% ✓
Baseline ML UML -9.6 (+6.6) 141.8 (-10.8) 20% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 NJIT 81 – 56 UML
Jan 15, 2026 NJIT 73 – 64 UML
Jan 31, 2025 NJIT 83 – 62 UML
Jan 11, 2025 UML 70 – 62 NJIT
Feb 10, 2024 NJIT 71 – 64 UML

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NJIT UML
Overall 7-23 26-8
Conference 4-12 11-5
Home 5-8 17-0
Away 2-15 9-8
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 66.5 76.2
Avg Pts Against 73.5 67.1
Massey -9.1 (#323) 5.3 (#92)
Bradley-Terry -2.06 (#331) 1.23 (#80)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.34 (#322) 1.88 (#67)
RPI 0.390 (#338) 0.537 (#111)
Shooting & Four Factors NJIT UML
FG% 40.1% 48.8%
3PT% 32.3% 37.6%
REB / G 32.2 39.4
OREB / G 8.2 11.7
AST / TO 1.08 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 54.2%
TOV% 17.2% 22.5%
ORB% 23.2% 35.1%
FT Rate 24.2% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 42.6%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 21.8%
DRB% 68.0% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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